June U.S. Jobs Report: Continued strength lowers expectations of Fed cut in July

Friday’s national employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. economy added 224,000 in June, exceeding the expectations of market observers who were counting on lower gains amid some slower May economic reports. The current economic expansion also entered its 121st month in July, marking the longest expansion in modern …


California on track for longest job expansion in recorded history

California added 19,400 jobs in May bringing the unemployment rate down to 4.2 percent, according to the latest report from the state Employment Development Department. The lowest unemployment rate, 4.1 percent, was seen in second half of 2018. Current job growth is at a 111-month expansion — the second-longest since 113-month expansion of 1960s. With …


30+ Years of Housing Market Cycles in the San Francisco Bay Area

Below is a look at the past 30+ years of San Francisco Bay Area real estate boom and bust cycles. Financial-market cycles have been around for hundreds of years, from the Dutch tulip mania of the 1600’s through today’s speculative frenzy in digital-currencies. While future cycles will vary in their details, the causes, effects and trend lines are often quite similar. Looking at cycles gives…

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Santa Clara County Real Estate June 2019 Market Report

Buyer Demand Strengthens, Median Home Prices Rise, but Conditions Still Cooler & Prices Lower Than in  White-Hot Market of Spring 2018. Median House Sales Prices Long-Term Trends Year-over-Year, March-May Comparisons Santa Clara Luxury Home Sales The luxury home market is fiercely seasonal with sales volume typically peaking in May or June – remember that one …


June 2019 San Francisco Market Report

High-demand/low-inventory spring market brings median home sales prices bouncing back to 2018 peaks. San Francisco luxury home sales hit new monthly high. Median Home Sales Prices We consider 3-month rolling median sales prices to be more reliable than single month figures, which are much more prone to less meaningful fluctuations. Both houses and condos are basically back up to the peak prices they hit last year…

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CoreLogic S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index Update

The CoreLogic S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index does not evaluate median sales price changes, but employs its own proprietary algorithm to measure home price appreciation over time. Since its indices cover large areas – for example, the San Francisco Metro Area is comprised of 5 counties – which themselves contain communities of widely varying home values, the C-S chart numbers do not refer to specific…

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San Mateo County Real Estate Spring Market Heats Up, But It’s Cooler than Spring 2018

With April’s end, we now have 2 months of spring season data unaffected by market activity at the end of 2018, when financial markets plunged. As of early May 2019, stock markets have recovered to hit new highs, interest rates are far lower than last year’s peak, and unicorn IPOs have begun to roll out …



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