Markets Can Turn With A Vengeance

April 2012 San Francisco Update Several times in the past 30 years, the San Francisco real estate market has turned up or down very quickly and very dramatically: in the mid-eighties – up; early nineties – down; 1996 – up … Continue reading


Case-Shiller for December 2011

The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for the month of December 2011 was just published. For the “high-tier” price index, which most applies to the city of San Francisco itself, the index showed a tiny tick down – less than … Continue reading


January 2012 Update: Real Estate Cycles and Turning Points

It seems to be part of the human condition that financial and real estate markets go in cycles. What’s interesting is that when the cycle is on the upswing or a bubble is inflating, how vociferous the opinions are that the upswing will never end; and how after the crash, how many then insist, often […]


Hanley Wood Market Forecast

National forecast of recovery in jobs and income: click to enlarge Jobs/Income forecast for multi-county San Francisco MSA projecting a recovery in employment to gain traction in 2012: click to enlarge Forecast of national home price recovery puts us at bottom right about now: click to enlarge Buyer profile for San Francisco multi-county metro area […]


The Case-Shiller Index Deciphered

The S&P Case-Shiller Index report for April 2011 (released 6/28/11) indicated the first increase in home prices for the San Francisco Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) in 8 months. This is based upon the Case-Shiller analysis of home sales data for the 5 counties of San Francisco, Marin, Contra Costa, Alameda and San Mateo. The statistics […]



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